Hats in the ring

Today former finance minister and deputy prime minister Chrystia Freeland announced she is entering the race to become the next leader of the Liberal Party. Her decision comes just after that of Mark Carney, former Bank of Canada and Bank of England governor.

Freeland has to be considered the front runner at this point. She was always touted as a successor to Justin Trudeau, and it was her break-up with Trudeau that basically led to his swift (albeit overdue) downfall. The only other people who have declared themselves as running are Jaime Battiste, Frank Baylis, and Chandra Arya. I have no idea who any of them are. I doubt anyone else does either. Even their constituents.

I think Freeland and Carney are both probably bright people, but have no business running for this position. Freeland got her start as a journalist, and wrote a book on growing wealth inequality called Plutocrats a dozen years ago that I think holds up pretty well. But I don’t think she’s a particularly charismatic type or that aware a politician. She might be a slightly more palatable Hillary Clinton, which isn’t nearly palatable enough. Compared to the rest of the field, however, she stands out. Carney has zero personality and I honestly can’t think of why he’s running. He’s everything Michael Ignatieff was and less. I’ll be shocked if he gets anywhere.

What we have here then are a pair of establishment stiffs who I guess plan to dampen enthusiasm and lean into their lack of personality as an antidote to right-wing, anti-establishment, social media-driven politics. And I don’t think there’s any doubt about who they’re really going to be running against in the next federal election. That is, Donald Trump. Which worked for Justin Trudeau, a complete political moron, but may not be enough to seal the deal again, despite Trump’s best efforts.

Anyway, these are just preliminary thoughts that I’m sure I’ll be revisiting as the next federal election looms into view. My expectations are low, but that means that any surprises may be pleasant ones.

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